Week 16 Main Slate NFL DFS Plug

Week 16 Main Slate NFL DFS Plug


This is the Sunday Main Slate NFL Daily Plug! Occupy Fantasy’s Chris Rooney has written up a guide to the slate using the Occupy Model, betting line movements, and news updates. Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes.

The NFL DFS Plug is posted for Main Slates, and is fully updated by 8:00pm on Fridays.

Follow Occupy Fantasy on Twitter for updates through lock.

Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes. For NFL Inactives, visit this link to the NFL.com page – updates roughly 90 minutes before kickoff for each game.

Consider the Plug an in-depth road map for the main slate. Let’s get to it!

Want analysis for every player on the slate? Check out the Occupy Model. Want help building lineups? Our Lineup Builder is available now for as little as $4 a week!

BETTING ODDS

Biggest Favorites:
Kansas City Chiefs, -11.5
Baltimore Ravens, -10
Cleveland Browns, -7.5
Houston Texans, -7.5
Chicago Bears, -7

Highest Game Totals:
ATL@KC, 53
PHI@DAL, 49.5
DEN@LAC, 48
LAR@SEA, 47.5
CHI@JAX, 47

Highest Implied Team Totals:
Kansas City Chiefs, 32.5
Chicago Bears, 27
Cleveland Browns, 26.5
Philadelphia Eagles, 26.25
Houston Texans, 26.25


Lowest Implied Team Totals:
New York Giants, 17
Cincinnati Bengals, 18.75
New York Jets, 19

Jacksonville Jaguars, 20
Carolina Panthers, 20

GAMES TO STACK

Each week, we’ll point out the games to stack based on the Occupy Model, betting line information such as game totals, implied team totals, line movements, and more.

ATL@KC

This is the clear game stack of the week. It’s the only game on Sunday’s slate with an over/under total that is over 50 points. Plus? It features Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and Calvin Ridley.

DFS players (sharp and square) will quickly identify this as a high-value opportunity. Cheap pieces will be needed to try and get this game stack to fit. Mecole Hardman is priced affordably despite seeing a season high 9 targets in Week 15. Hardman typically plays about a third of KC’s offensive snaps; his role in the return game, plus his blazing speed makes him a great value regardless.

Sammy Watkins has been a bit of a wind sprints King the last couple of weeks, but he has the most routes run other than Hill/Kelce for the Chiefs in recent weeks.

On the Atlanta side, if Julio Jones returns, it should be a good thing for the viability of the Falcons offense. It’s a disaster for DFS purposes, because without him, it’s easy to focus on just Ridley and Russell Gage as the main passing game weapons here. Julio is OUT.

The backfields with each of these squads have gone through some turmoil in recent weeks. Le’Veon Bell will start for KC, as Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle, hip) is out indefinitely. Ito Smith is now the definitive starting RB for the Falcons, as Todd Gurley has been demoted.

PHI@DAL

Brian and I discussed this game at length in the Week 16 Occupy Fantasy podcast:

This isn’t your typical second divisional game late in a season. The first time around, the Cowboys had Ben DiNucci under center, while the corpse of Carson Wentz attempted to play football for the Eagles.

The dynamic playmaking ability of Jalen Hurts has already been very good to us in DFS – we expect Hurts to have another chance to play well against Dallas’ 25th DVOA pass defense. Miles Sanders is back to dominating RB opportunity for the Eagles, so he’s the only option worth considering in the position group.

Jalen Reagor and Greg Ward are the top WRs for Philly now, while Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert are each viable at TE as passing game options. Ertz is actually featured on our underperforming WR list for this week, as he has 130 air yards on 14 targets in recent weeks, with just 6 receptions for 30 yards to show for it. DeSean Jackson has been activated, but his snaps should be limited. Expect him to cut into the work for other outside WRs (Reagor, Alshon).

Andy Dalton is a competent NFL QB, which should help the likes of Michael Gallup, Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb this time around against the Eagles defense. Gallup and Lamb actually lead Dallas in targets and air yards in recent weeks, Cooper trails each of them.

Monitor the RB situation – Tony Pollard looked excellent in his first full start at RB for the Cowboys last weekend against the 49ers, if Ezekiel Elliott is unable to return to the lineup, Pollard will be a strong play in all formats at his price yet again. Elliott is on track to play.

These two games stand out to us at this point as the best to focus on. There is one more, however, that allows us to actually use a high-powered offense keyed around more underperforming WRs:

NYG@BAL

Lamar Jackson is playing his best football at the most important juncture of the season. The Ravens need to win against a hapless Giants team in order to get on the right side of the AFC playoff picture.

It’s a merely average matchup for Jackson in the passing and running game, which means J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards will have their chances against the defense as well.

Mark Andrews should be the top option Lamar hones in on in this game, as Marquise Brown was a late week addition to the injury report with a knee injury. Willie Snead is the top slot WR, while Miles Boykin and Dez Bryant will be the outside WRs if Brown can’t go.

Each of Darius Slayton, Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram are underperforming according to our Model. Slayton leads NYG in air yards in the last 3 weeks; Shepard and Engram are each right there with him on targets.

Golden Tate is missing late week practices; if he’s ruled out on Sunday, it should bolster the roles for each of these underperformers. Tate is OUT, lock in Shepard, Slayton, and Engram for larger roles.

Our top plays by position at this early point (Christmas Eve) are below – expect more narrative to be added by Friday evening/Saturday morning. Good luck this weekend!

BEST PLAYS BY POSITION

QB

Stud: Patrick Mahomes (vs. Atlanta)

The Chiefs have the highest implied team total on Sunday against the Falcons. Atlanta allows 287.8 passing yards and 2 passing touchdowns per game to non-Mahomes QBs on the season. Mahomes hasn’t been playing up to his usual skill level (EPA nerds will tell you he’s simply been average), but simply average is still elite against this reeling Falcons defense.

There is certainly a path to paying up to Mahomes on this slate, and our Model prefers it – he’s the highest ranked QB we have in our Model this Sunday.

Stud: Jalen Hurts (@ Dallas)

Bookmakers have no respect for this Dallas team (rightfully so); even when presented with a matchup with the rejuvenated Eagles at home, they’re sitting as 2 to 3 point underdogs. Why?

Dallas is bad, and yes, sometimes the truth Hurts (eyeroll).

Hurts projects for 13% ownership on DraftKings, the highest at the position. He’s no longer a value (say goodbye to sub $6000 pricing forever), but still extremely viable in all contest types this Sunday. The Cowboys 25th DVOA pass defense will have their luck cut out for them trying to defend the 2nd round rookie, who has 11+ rush attempts and a TD in each of his two starts, as well as 4 passing touchdowns. 

On a smaller 10 game slate, Hurts has even more upside due to his dynamic playmaking ability; could easily end up the optimal QB at his mid range price with another ~250 yard, 2 TD passing performance, and 50+ rushing yards with a touchdown on the ground. Hurts is our third highest ranked QB in the Occupy Model.

Value: Baker Mayfield (@ NY Jets)

Baker has been playing efficient football lately; and now draws a start against a Jets team that already won their “we’re not going 0-16!” Super Bowl.

The Jets are the 29th DVOA pass defense, so even though the RBs here for CLE will be popular this week, the passing game may have more upside. Mayfield is averaging an elite 8.7 yards per attempt in the last four weeks, with an absurd 7.1% TD pass rate. He’s projects for the fifth highest ownership in our Model at the position this week.

NOTE: Cleveland will be without all of Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones and KhaDarel Hodge against the Jets. They are on the COVID-19 restricted list. We don’t recommend Baker outside of high-risk now.

RB

Stud: David Montgomery (vs. Jacksonville)

Feet of Saquon. Vision of Le’Veon. Strength of Zeke. Athleticism of (redacted). Without Tarik Cohen for the majority of the season, fantasy players looked ahead to this stretch of games for Montgomery – he’s made the most of it, with 27+ DraftKings points in 4 straight games against below average rush defenses (GB, DET, HOU and MIN). He has one more below average matchup here (JAX is the 23rd DVOA rush defense). 

He projects for 30.4 weighted opportunities to touch the football, and is the highest projected owned RB on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Stud: Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt (@ NY Jets)

Chubb projects for the second highest ownership at the position on DraftKings, and the third highest on FanDuel – projected ownership with RBs always gets our attention.

Frankly, the matchup is better for the passing game. It’s not out of the question this game gets out of hand, and Chubb seals it down the stretch with a heavy workload – but it might make sense to spend cap dollars elsewhere.

Chubb won’t see many targets, but to his credit he makes the most of every opportunity he gets to touch the football, as he averages the third most rushing yards per game this season.

Chubb projects for 22.6 weighted-opportunities to touch the ball in our Model, and that reflects his near zero involvement in the passing game. He’s the 9th ranked RB in our Model, despite carrying the highest price on both sites this weekend. 

Kareem Hunt should see more work in the passing game, the Browns will need to use creative personnel packages in this game.

NOTE: Cleveland will be without all of Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones and KhaDarel Hodge against the Jets. They are on the COVID-19 restricted list.

Value: Austin Ekeler (vs. Denver)

It’s a phenomenal matchup for Ekeler as a home favorite, as the Broncos are just the 27th DVOA rush defense. Ekeler’s roughly 25% share of the targets in LAC’s offense? Gives him a much more attractive floor/ceiling combination on DraftKings.

Denver’s defense is actually stout against RBs in the passing game, so Ekeler’s success may come on more traditional RB touches. We project him for 33.1 weighted opportunities in the Occupy RB Model, the highest on the entire slate.

Value: David Johnson (vs. Cincinnati)

Duke Johnson will be out yet again, which leaves DJ as a near lock for a heavy workload once more. He played 80% of the snaps for Houston against the Colts last Sunday, and had 17 touches. What surprised us the most, however, was his role in the passing game – he had 11 (!!!!) targets.

While much of that may have been driven by game script, understand DJ made his claim to fame early in his career in Arizona as an elite pass game weapon out of the backfield. With Houston down to Brandin Cooks and practice squad WRs, the Texans may see DJ as one of their top receivers. For one thing, the matchup is excellent – CIN is just 23rd defending RBs in the passing game.

We project DJ for 23.9 weighted opportunities to touch the football, and he is a 7.5 point home favorite against Cincinnati’s league average rush defense.

Value: Melvin Gordon III (@ LA Chargers)

A late addition – MG3’s “return” to Los Angeles marks his first road game against his old squad… so this is the revenge game of the week on the slate. The Broncos will be without Phillip Lindsay, and MG3 saw his 2 highest snap shares of the season in games Lindsay missed (Weeks 2 and 4). He had at least 19 carries and 3 targets in each of those games.

This week, the Chargers bring the 26th DVOA rush defense, and a merely average defense defending the position in the running game.

Quick word on Le’Veon Bell – he projects for high ownership (4th highest at the position) on the most high-powered offense in the league. He’s a fine low-risk play – MG3 we deem to be safer, as his touches feel more guaranteed in this spot (less roster competition).

WR

Stud: Tyreek Hill, Value: Mecole Hardman, Sammy Watkins (vs. Atlanta)

The Chiefs and the Falcons are the highest total game, so their WRs will get a lot of attention.

Tyreek projects for the highest ownership on FanDuel and DraftKings, despite his exorbitant price tag. We project him for 9.4 targets in the Occupy WR Model, while no other Chief projects for more than 3.

No one can defend Tyreek, frankly, but Atlanta can’t defend anyone at WR as it is. They rank 24th against WR1s. with no high priced RBs worth prioritizing, it’s viable to get Tyreek (or the next player below) in low-risk builds as a result.

Mecole Hardman saw a season high 9 targets last week, and has a strong kick return role. At his low price ($3,100 DK, $5,500 FD), expect to see Mecole get some decent ownership with this game being popular. Sammy Watkins is a much better value on FanDuel, where he’s somehow cheaper than Hardman, despite running nearly 50% more routes on average weekly. 

Stud: Calvin Ridley (@ Kansas City)

When Julio Jones misses, it’s the Ridley show. Two more games remain for the Riddler to cap off his fantastic season, and you can bet he’s champing at the bit to separate himself statistically from his draft class mate after this exchange:



Ridley has an absurd 51% share of Atlanta’s air yards in the past 3 weeks, with a 31% target share. We project him for a slate high 11.7 targets against the Chiefs.

Value: Jarvis Landry (@ NY Jets)

Another reminder that the Jets are bad against the passing game – Landry projects for the most targets in this Cleveland offense this week for us, at 7.7. The Jets are 23rd by DVOA defending WR1s, which there’s no debate that’s the role Landry plays now for the Browns.

We’ve seen it a lot this year – the Browns like to give Jarvis the chance to throw the ball every once in a while, so rostering Jarvis? Might even get you narrow exposure to their passing game matchup here.

Value: Marvin Hall (@ NY Jets)

As the only WR on Cleveland’s active roster prior to Saturday evening, Hall projects to slide right into the WR1 role for Baker Mayfield against a porous pass defense. It’s hard to project exactly what Hall will do – here’s what we know about him:

Hall played 185 offensive snaps for Detroit this season, he split out wide on 163 of them (22 in slot, per PFF). Glued to the outside of the field, Hall saw mostly deep shots – he had a 17.4 yard aDOT before being released.

Baker Mayfield has the highest average intended air yards per pass attempt this season out of all QBs slated to play tomorrow. So Baker’s propensity to roll out and look deep downfield? Fits Hall’s skillset perfectly.

Ja’Marcus Bradley and Derrick Willies are only available on the FanDuel slate – Bradley has been with the team since OTAs, so there actually might be merit to the idea he’s competing for the most reps at WR this week.

NOTE: Cleveland will be without all of Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones and KhaDarel Hodge against the Jets. They are on the COVID-19 restricted list.

Value: Diontae Johnson (vs. Indianapolis)

No one passes the football more than the Pittsburgh Steelers, which elevates the fantasy appeal of the WRs. Even in the worst game imaginable against the Bengals Monday, Diontae still scored 19.9 DraftKings points.

Indianapolis is a tough defense period, but easier to pass on, which should be music to Ben Roethlisberger’s ears. Diontae has a team high 21% target share in the last 3 weeks, and he’s effectively how they create a running game – he has just a 3.7 yard average depth of target in that stretch.

We project him for 10 targets at just 2% ownership in our Model this week.

Value: Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton (@ Baltimore)

Without Golden Tate, these two should get the majority of looks from Daniel Jones at WR. We project them both for 7.2 targets against the Ravens.

Each flashed on our patented “yooper” list this week – Shepard and Slayton each have a 23% target share over the last 3 weeks; Slayton holds a slight edge in air yards, with a 12.9 aDOT on his targets, vs. just 10.6 for Shepard. Neither has found paydirt in recent weeks, as the Giants have struggled to score points.

Baltimore will be without Jimmy Smith in the secondary, and Marcus Peters looks to be on the wrong side of questionable here, as well. This should be an opportunity to shine for anyone who can haul in a few passes for the Giants; these two are the most likely.

TE

Stud: Travis Kelce (vs. Atlanta)

Kelce is the most expensive TE in the history of DraftKings this week (H/T Adam Levitan).

Kelce has 8+ receptions in 7 straight weeks, with either 100+ yards receiving, or a touchdown in 5 of the 7 games.

You can fade him if you want, but be prepared to watch him like this all Sunday:

via GIPHY

Kelce projects for a slate high 9.4 targets
in the Occupy TE Model, and the highest ownership at the position. 

Value: Mark Andrews (vs. NY Giants)

With a 12.9 yard average depth of target, Andrews has the highest ceiling role at the position on any given passing play – this is the highest aDOT for all TE’s with 10+ targets in the last 3 weeks.

Andrews’ has a 30% share of Jackson’s air yards, and a 24% target share in that stretch. At literally nearly half of Kelce’s price, it’s a discount worth taking advantage of for a stud TE in Week 16. We project Andrews for 6.8 targets.

Value: Austin Hooper (@ NY Jets)

In case you haven’t figured it out yet – THE. JETS. ARE. BAD. AGAINST. THE. PASS.

Austin Hooper is the best cheap piece to get exposure to the matchup ($3,500 DK, $5,100 FD), and he’s our highest ranked non-Kelce TE this week. We project Hooper for 5 targets in the Occupy Model.

NOTE: Cleveland will be without all of Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones and KhaDarel Hodge against the Jets. They are on the COVID-19 restricted list.

DST

Defenses are not typically going to be written up in detail in our Daily Plug on main slates. One of the optimal ways to select defenses for low-risk contests? Focus on defenses facing opponents with low Vegas team totals. We also want to target turnover prone quarterbacks when it makes sense. You shouldn’t ever pass on a player at another spot just to jam in a defense. We’ll always provide a list of low and high risk defenses in the player pool below.

BANKROLL ALLOCATION

Use 4-5% of your bankroll.

There’s a juicy amount of GPP’s with big prizes for NFL compared to other sports. Depending on your bankroll tier, take advantage! Read Contest Recommendations below for suggested contests by tier.

If playing low-risk, focus on the same spots we normally recommend – H2Hs, single entry double ups (as always, multi-entry double ups are OK if you can max enter them).

Our studs and values by position above are intended to be a roadmap to help you win in low-risk contests. For high-risk, there are plenty of strong GPP plays in the “Best of the Rest” player pool.

LINEUP STRATEGY

Check out the player pool below. In low-risk contests, you should continue to try and play 3 running backs from the write-up and low-risk sections. Often, the highest projected owned RBs in the Occupy Model end up being the sharpest low-risk plays. Smart players have all week to figure out who to run, ownership projections reflect that.

This week, David Montgomery, Austin Ekeler, and Nick Chubb project for the highest ownership. We prefer David Squared – David Montgomery and Johnson (Houston) as the core pieces to build around.

Jalen Hurts provides more lineup flexibility at his salary in low-risk, so we highly recommend him as your low-risk QB on both sites.

Building 5-10-20, even 150 lineups for large-field GPPs? Stick to a core of top plays (outlined below) that are projected to be highly owned, and build game stacks around that core. We strongly recommend stacking the highest total games on the slate above to accomplish this.

For large-field high-risk contests, we recommend 3×1 stacking (a QB, two of his teammates, and one opposing player). In smaller high-risk contests like 100-player leagues, we recommend 3×1 or 3×2 stacking.

You can use our Lineup Builder to set your groupings using the Occupy Model rankings! Available for as low as $4 a week for Occupy members. You probably should – our CEO Brian Jester was able to take down a FanDuel GPP in Week 9 using this exact tool!

Best of the Rest

If building player pools for mass-multi entry is your thing, consider using these names in addition to top plays above. Please remember – the Occupy Model is designed for high-risk contest optimization. Lower-ranked plays may still be great low-risk plays for that reason.

QUARTERBACKS:

LOW-RISK: Deshaun Watson, Mitch Trubisky, Lamar Jackson

HIGH-RISK: Jared Goff, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Daniel Jones, Andy Dalton

RUNNING BACKS: 

LOW-RISK: Jonathan Taylor, Chris Carson, Le’Veon Bell, J.K. Dobbins, Darrell Henderson

HIGH-RISK: Miles Sanders, Ezekiel Elliott, Dare Ogunbowale, J.D. McKissic, Mike Davis, Phillip Lindsay, Giovani Bernard, Kareem Hunt, Malcolm Brown, Melvin Gordon, Ito Smith, Nyheim Hines, Frank Gore, James Conner, Antonio Gibson, Kalen Ballage, Gus Edwards, Wayne Gallman, Darrel Williams, Tony Pollard, Ty Johnson, Devine Ozigbo, Benny Snell

WIDE RECEIVERS: 

LOW-RISK: Robert Woods, DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Allen Robinson, Greg Ward

HIGH RISK: Terry McLaurin, DK Metcalf, Cooper Kupp, Julio Jones (if active), Brandin Cooks, Chase Claypool, DJ Chark, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyler Lockett, Curtis Samuel, CeeDee Lamb, T.Y. Hilton, Robby Anderson, Marquise Brown, Darius Slayton, Russell Gage, Sterling Shepard, Amari Cooper, Tyler Boyd, Keke Coutee, Michael Pittman Jr., Sammy Watkins, Rashard Higgins, Denzel Mims, Darnell Mooney, Michael Gallup

“UNDERPERFORMING WRs”: DJ Chark, Chase Claypool, Terry McLaurin, Darius Slayton, Sterling Shepard, Evan Engram (TE), Zach Ertz (TE)

McLaurin is doubtful, hasn’t been officially declared out, but don’t plan on him being available.

TIGHT ENDS:

LOW-RISK: Noah Fant, Logan Thomas

HIGH RISK: Cole Kmet, Jimmy Graham, Hayden Hurst, Dalton Schultz, Evan Engram, Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz

DST:

LOW-RISK: Colts, Ravens, Bears, Texans

HIGH-RISK: Panthers, Broncos, Chiefs, Eagles

Plays are listed in order of preference (DK OF Index).

CONTEST RECOMMENDATIONS

Smaller Bankrolls

Look for no-badge users for low-risk H2Hs in the lobby. On DraftKings, post your own H2Hs and make sure you limit the opponents to 1 entry (per price point) against you (FanDuel doesn’t have this option). With the rest of your low-risk allocation, play single-entry double ups.

This is likely most people reading this – single-entry GPPs are the best high-risk tournaments to play. You want to give yourself the best shot to win; being on a level playing field with every other user by max-entering a contest is the way to go. Single entry contests are the easiest places to do this.

The first place you can do that with are “Contests” – these low priority, blandly named GPPs come with smaller field sizes and (usually) less experienced players. On DraftKings, the $0.25, $1, and $3 Contests are good places to start looking at playing. On FanDuel, the single entry 3-100 Player leagues meet this criteria. Everyone is drawn to the sexy, high-dollar top prize contests – you can lay low in here and (hopefully) grow your bankroll. You can 20-25x your entry fee by beating just 99 other people in these formats – it’s a great place to play.

On DraftKings, the $3 entry fee, NFL $50K Pylon or $12 entry fee, NFL $200K Fair Catch (or the smaller field $40K Fair Catch option) are great places to spend your high-risk allocation. 

On FanDuel, there is also the $5 entry fee, $50K Sun NFL Spike, the $2 entry fee $20K Sun NFL Safety, and $1 entry fee $15K Sun NFL Squib you should look at for single entry GPPs.

Want to practice your multi-entry skills? Max enter a three entry max contest like the $5 entry fee, $125K Nickel on DraftKings.

The $30K Quarter Jukebox is a 20 entry-max tournament that costs just $5 to play at $0.25 per entry. Practice your mass-multi entry skills with our optimizer with a shot to win $1,500!

Want an even bigger challenge? FanDuel has a 150-entry max contest at just $0.05 per entry, the $25K Sun NFL Pooch Punt. There’s also a $0.25 cent version, the $50K Sun NFL Hail Mary.

Satellites are the best way for us to accumulate entries to the big contests each week. On DraftKings, play for Millionaire Maker Satellites tickets you can use in later weeks.

There are also generic “NFL $3 Ticket SuperSatellite” contests – these award 4 tickets and are $0.25 single entry GPPs. This would be a great way to accumulate Pylon or Play-Action tickets.

There’s also satellites for the NHL Opening Night Puck Drop, the TEN $15 Aussie Special, the 1-23 MMA $25 257 Special, the NAS 2021 America’s Race, and the LOL $20 Spring Special.

On FanDuel, there are satellites for the NBA EPIC Monster on 1/6, the NBA Spectacular Slam on 1/12, TEN SUPER Smash on 1/18, the NBA Clutch Shot on 1/19, the UFC Octagon on 1/23, the NBA Hang Time on 1/27, the NHL Opening Day Breakaway, the NBA Alley Oop on 2/3, the TEN Super Smash on 2/8, the NAS SUPER Intimidator on 2/14 and the PGA MEGA Eagle on 4/8.

Larger Bankrolls

100-player Leagues/Contests remain great places to play – on DraftKings look for Contests in the $5 to $50 entry fee range, these are the best places to build your allocation around.

We introduced 20 entry-max contests to the Smaller Bankroll contest players. At your level, you should consider max entering the $3 entry fee, $1M Play-Action on DraftKings. This contest comes with a shot of taking down $100K, so you should have exposure to that nice prize here.

You can also probably look at some of the higher dollar value single entry GPPs at your bankroll size – The $27 entry fee $100K Blind Side and $50 entry fee $250K Red Zone stand out. The $500K Spy is a $100 entry fee GPP that awards $100K to first (there’s a smaller version with 25K to 1st, too).

For FanDuel users, the best single entry GPPs in the next tier not mentioned above? The $25 entry fee, $100K Sun NFL Sweep, the $100 entry fee, $100K Sun NFL Cover 2, and the $50 entry fee, $70K Sun NFL Hot Route.

Look at the $175K Sun NFL Rush, which is a $9 entry fee 150 max GPP with 30K to 1st. It’s near and dear to our hearts – our own CEO won this GPP in Week 9!

Largest Bankrolls

Have enough to (WITHIN our allocation guideline for your bankroll) max-enter a larger GPP? Congrats on being a big baller! Teach us your ways.

On DraftKings, the $150 entry fee, $500K Power Sweep is a three entry-max GPP with a $100K prize to 1st (there’s also a $125K Power Sweep with a smaller field). Consider this heavily every week it’s offered at your bankroll size.

Don’t forget about the $20 entry fee $3M Fantasy Football Millionaire! We like to say don’t play these contests with your own money without being able to max enter, so unless you’re a big baller, steer clear of this one.

The next best 150-max contest is the $9 entry fee, $300K Slant this week. It has one of the flattest payout structures on the slate, and a $30,000 top prize.

FanDuel users, you’ve got the $1.5M NFL Sunday Million which is a $4.44 entry fee, 150-max contest with a $300,000 top-prize.

The $350K Sun NFL Bomb is a $55 entry fee, 150-max GPP that offers $100,000 to 1st place that is also a decent GPP to consider for you.

Sports Betting disclaimers
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Situation statistics sourced from Stathead.com. DVOA data from FootballOutsiders.com. Air Yards data cited from AirYards.com. All salaries from contest providers. While we like the player pool selected above, we reserve the right to roster other players should news and trends closer to lock push us in that direction. Pay attention to our stream schedule for discussion of those thoughts!