Week 15 Main Slate NFL DFS Plug

Week 15 Main Slate NFL DFS Plug



The following article appears on OccupyFantasy.com every Friday! Become a member for as little as $2/week with an annual subscription for NFL DFS analysis, as well as MLB, NBA, NHL and more.


This is the Sunday Main Slate NFL Daily Plug! Occupy Fantasy’s Chris Rooney has written up a guide to the slate using the Occupy Model, betting line movements, and news updates. Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes.

The NFL DFS Plug is posted for Main Slates, and is fully updated by 8:00pm on Fridays.

Follow Occupy Fantasy on Twitter for updates through lock.

Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes. For NFL Inactives, visit this link to the NFL.com page – updates roughly 90 minutes before kickoff for each game.

Consider the Plug an in-depth road map for the main slate. Let’s get to it!

Want analysis for every player on the slate? Check out the Occupy Model. Want help building lineups? Our Lineup Builder is available now for as little as $4 a week!

BETTING ODDS

Biggest Favorites:
Los Angeles Rams, -17.5
Baltimore Ravens, -13.5
Tennessee Titans, -11
Indianapolis Colts, -7.5
Arizona Cardinals, -6.5

Highest Game Totals:
KC@NO, 52.5
TEN@DET, 51.5
HOU@IND, 51
TB@ATL, 49
PHI@ARI, 48.5

Highest Implied Team Totals:
Tennessee Titans, 31.25
Baltimore Ravens, 31
Los Angeles Rams, 30.75
Indianapolis Colts, 29.25
Kansas City Chiefs, 27.75

Lowest Implied Team Totals:
New York Jets, 13.25
Jacksonville Jaguars, 17.5
Washington Football Team, 18.25
New England Patriots, 19.5
Detroit Lions, 20.25

WFFC Fan Championship

Occupy members – we’re finally here! If you’ve been following our advice all season, hopefully you were targeting satellites for this tournament and won a few ticket entries.

This FanDuel contest is a Millionaire Maker with just ~16,000 lineups in the field – it’s one of the best affordable shots at life changing money ($250 entry fee).

This is a huge chance to boost your bankroll. With just 19.4% of the field being paid out though, this contest deserves a super high-risk approach. 

Construct your lineups by using the 3 game stack options below. We recommend using “3-1” game stacks on FanDuel, so that means a QB with 2 of his teammates, then with the strongest skill position player on the other side of the game as the “1” side of the stack. 

Try and fill out the rest of your pass catchers from our “underperforming WR” list below (if you can game stack using some of these WRs, even better). Consult the top ranked WR plays in the Occupy Model if you want more options. Then, fit some of the top ranked players in the Occupy Model at the other remaining positions in your lineup.

Last year, our CEO Brian Jester both qualified for and finished 2nd in FanDuel’s live final with this strategy. So yeah, we put our money where our mouth is around these parts.

GAMES TO STACK

Each week, we’ll point out the games to stack based on the Occupy Model, betting line information such as game totals, implied team totals, line movements, and more.

KC@NO

Most football prognosticators likely see this as a potential Super Bowl matchup in February, so expect this to be the most popular game stack of the weekend.

Drew Brees is back for the Saints, but Michael Thomas is out. We expect Alvin Kamara (who is fully healthy) to once again be featured heavily in this offense. The Saints WRs project to be Emmanuel Sanders and Tre’Quan Smith in this one, with Jared Cook as the top TE.

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the presumptive number one seed in the AFC, and may not need to kill themselves trying to win a non conference game because of it.

Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are the duh players in this offense to stack, but hard to fit since you can’t go over the salary cap in salary cap contests. Consider some of the secondary options, like Sammy Watkins and Demarcus Robinson, who each still run more routes than return man Mecole Hardman. Don’t ignore the RB position here, though – Clyde Edwards-Helaire is back to a high volume role, and might have more upside than his Week 15 prices indicate.

JAX@BAL

Minshew Mania is back in action, as the 1-12 Jaguars head to Baltimore to play a football game this weekend. Gardner Minshew has two WRs featured on our underperforming WR list – the “yoopers” are DJ Chark and Keelan Cole. So while fantasy Twitter continues to jam Viska Shenault and even Collin Johnson, we strongly recommend you focus on those two WRs in your game stacks here.

Lamar Jackson is arguably the top play at the position (every week) given his rushing upside and his ability to hit his receivers for big plays through the air. Jacksonville’s 24th DVOA pass defense and league worst 32nd DVOA rush defense presents a problem against Jackson’s skillset, to put it lightly.

JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards both play often enough to hit a ceiling, but also not often enough to feel super comfortable rostering them in low-risk lineups. Dobbins is the better choice if you want one in low-risk – he’s been starting and playing slightly more of late. Mark Ingram is likely canceled – he got just one snap last week.

Mark Andrews is slated to be the top receiver, as Willie Snead, Dez Bryant and Devin Duvernay may be the starting WRs in Week 15 for the Ravens due to COVID-19 restrictions. Marquise Brown, Miles Boykin and James Proche were reinstated from the COVID-19 list Sunday morning; expect their starting 3 WRs to be Brown-Boykin-Snead now as a result.

PHI@ARI

Two QBs with rushing upside head-to-head? Not a hard sell.

Kyler Murray has pretty obviously been hurt for several weeks, but there are signs he may be healing. The biggest sign? He had 13 rush attempts against the Giants, after just tucking and running only 5 times in each of the prior 3 games. We have not seen the Kyler from the first half of the season in awhile – he hasn’t scored a rushing TD in 4 weeks, despite not really changing his playing style.

Kenyan Drake has been the main RB in the running game of late, while Chase Edmonds has actually maintained a healthy share of backfield targets, with ~15% in recent weeks.

If Murray is back to full health, expect him to find holes against Philly’s pass defense, which ranks 30th and 31st defending WR1s and WR2s. DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk have favorable spots, as a result.

It was a hell of a debut on the ground for Jalen Hurts, crossing the 100 yard rushing mark in his first ever start in an NFL game. Hurts’ favorite target was his tight end, Dallas Goedert, who he looked for 6 times against the Saints. Behind him? Slot WR Greg Ward, with 5 targets. Miles Sanders also resumed his massive RB role, with 14 out of 17 RB carries for the Eagles in Week 14.

BEST PLAYS BY POSITION

QB

Stud: Lamar Jackson (vs. Jacksonville)

Jackson’s matchup with the 1-12 Jaguars could not come at a better time for the Ravens – after a huge division win against Cleveland last Monday, they need to take care of business here in order to stay in the playoff hunt.

Jackson knows all about taking care of business – he did so in the second half last week before returning to win the game in heroic fashion. Jacksonville’s pass defense ranks just 24th by DVOA, while their rush defense ranks dead last. This is not a good formula for success against the most dynamic playmaker at the position for Jacksonville.

The Ravens have a 30.25 point implied team total, and are the second biggest favorites on this slate. Jackson is also our third highest ranked QB in the Occupy Model.

Stud: Patrick Mahomes (@ New Orleans)

Mahomes projects to face above average pressure, and is the most expensive QB to roster on the slate. So why do we like him?

He’s been throwing the ball all over the place, with 300+ passing yards in 6 consecutive games. He has 40+ pass attempts in 5 of the 6 games – while averaging an absurd 9.1 yards per attempt. Mahomes is the biggest reason Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have been elite fantasy options for 2+ seasons, after all – it starts here.

His 3 interceptions against the Dolphins  – a tipped ball, an overthrow, and an underthrow – are not normal for him. Not only is it unlikely Mahomes repeats that type of performance – it’s likely he’s motivated to go out and play a clean game against a championship level opponent.

The Chiefs and the Saints have the highest over/under total on the week at 53 points. He’s our 7th highest ranked QB in the Occupy Model for Week 15.

Value: Jalen Hurts (@ Arizona)

We’re in the middle of quite the revolution in fantasy football. Long gone are the days of the true pocket passer, who simply reads coverages and fires passes towards the open man.

Hurts is just the latest addition to the pile of athletic starting QBs with tremendous rushing upside. This man went for 100+ yards on the ground against a really good Saints rush defense in his first career start, after all. Remember – rushing yards are 2.5x more valuable than passing yards in fantasy scoring systems, so we should leverage low-priced QBs in DFS with said upside.

In 96 offensive snaps over the last two weeks under center, Hurts has rushed the football 24% of the time – averaging 5.8 yards. Of the 34.54 DraftKings points he’s scored in that time period, 16.5 of them came strictly from the running game.

Any time there’s a QB who reliably projects for 50+ rushing yards in his pricing tier, it’s a strong play (and we project him for around 60 here). Hurts is the 6th highest ranked QB in the Occupy Model this weekend.

RB

Stud: Derrick Henry (vs. Detroit)

The stud RB with the highest price on the slate also projects to be the most highly owned on FanDuel and DraftKings this Sunday.

Derrick Henry’s Titans will face off against a Lions team likely trotting out a backup QB on offense, which is a major reason why they are getting 11 points at home.

No reason to overthink this spot – home favorite workhorse RB? And it’s Derrick Henry? He’s a phenomenal play in Week 15. We project Henry for 28.3 weighted opportunities to touch the ball this week in the Occupy RB Model.

Stud: Dalvin Cook (vs. Chicago)

Our highest ranked RB in the Occupy Model is no surprise – Cook has been getting the heaviest workload of all backs in the NFL of late, and there’s no reason to expect that won’t be the case in a must-win spot against their division rival here.

Cook projects for the third highest ownership on this slate on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The Bears are a difficult matchup (9th by DVOA defending the run this season), but Cook’s offensive line is the top ranked run blocking unit, which should negate that a bit here. Cook projects for 34.4 weighted opportunities to touch the football this week, the most at the position.

Value: Alvin Kamara (vs. Kansas City)

With Michael Thomas out, and Drew Brees back under center, we’re back to where we were just a few short weeks ago with this Saints offense. Let’s take a trip down memory lane, shall we?

Without Thomas, in Weeks 2-8 of the 2020 season, Alvin Kamara had 58 total targets, an average of 9.6 per game (!!!), good for a 26% overall target share from Drew Brees.

Like, what? This dude is a WR1 alone at that volume. But wait, there’s more! Kamara’s 75 rush attempts in that span (12.5 per game) also exist, given the fact that he plays running back in the NFL, not wide receiver. Crazy, right?

Pulling it all together, Kamara was averaging nearly 40 weighted opportunities to touch the ball per game in this situation. There is no reason to expect this week will be any different.

Alvin Kamara faces a Chiefs defense that is 31st by DVOA defending RBs in the passing game – and those were all RBs not named Alvin Kamara, by the way. There may not be a need for a 9K RB in your lineups this week thanks to Kamara’s new reality, and the value backs discussed below. 

Value: Cam Akers (vs. NY Jets)

The coming out party for Cam Akers against the Patriots really started in Week 13 against Arizona. Akers is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and over 60% of total offensive snaps played. He seems to be healed from the early season injuries that hampered his development in this offense.

The Rams are massive 17.5 point home favorites against the reeling Jets. Akers projects for 25.3 weighted opportunities to touch the ball, as well.

He’s the easiest plug and play RB for low-risk, as his price does not reflect how dominant he has been in this backfield of late – Akers has 74.6% of the carries in the last 2 weeks for the Rams – Henderson and Brown only have 8 carries combined.

Cam Akers’ backfield? Always has been.

Value: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (@ New Orleans)

After a week on the sideline as a Bell insurance policy due to illness, the Chiefs decided they had seen enough of the Jets’ castoff. They gave CEH a workload comparable to what he received in the early parts of the season – 16 carries, 6 targets, and 74% of snaps played on offense.

In fact, this was the highest percentage of offensive snaps CEH played in a game year-to-date. Bell didn’t do much in his one start against Denver to show he can outperform the first round pick; expect more of the same in this spot against New Orleans. CEH projects for 22.2 weighted opportunities in the Occupy Model.

Value: Tony Pollard (vs. San Francisco)

Ezekiel Elliott is inactive, so expect Pollard to dominate the opportunities at RB. He was already seeing 30% fo carries and 5% of targets with Zeke to contend with. We’re not concerned about the corpses of whatever is behind Pollard at RB today. He’s basically a lock on FD at $4700, and we like him on DK too – his price makes it a bit less of a must, though. Expect Pollard to get about 20 carries and 4-5 targets, which is absurd for his price everywhere today folks.

Value: Leonard Fournette (@ Atlanta)

Ronald Jones is out, and we have Bruce Arians telling us that Lenny will be the RB1 for the Bucs this week.

Frankly, he’s been very transparent with his personnel plans with the media all season, so there’s no reason to be skeptical here. Fournette should receive the bulk of the rushing work, and is able to make plays in the passing game well enough – he was already considered their go to third down, passing situation back as it is. We can use Fournette as a cheap piece to make more expensive lineup pieces fit, as well.

We project Fournette for 23.8 weighted opportunities against the Falcons this weekend.

WR

Stud: Tyreek Hill (@ New Orleans)

Here are some facts, in case for some wild reason you, reader, doubt that Tyreek Hill is the top option in KC’s offense at receiver.

Hill owns a 27% target share, and a massive 42% share of Mahomes’ air yards in their last 3 games. Hill has been used dynamically by Reid in this offense, spending some weeks mostly in the slot to leverage matchups.

This week, he has a favorable matchup in the slot against the Saints, who rank just 21st by DVOA defending those types of routes. Matchups aren’t something we worry about with Tyreek, however, who is one of the fastest men in the entire league. We project 9.4 targets for him in the Occupy Model.

Stud: Calvin Ridley (vs. Tampa Bay)

When Julio Jones misses games, it’s simply the Calvin Ridley show for the Atlanta Falcons. Ridley isn’t one of our patented “yoopers” this week – but he’s still amassed an ungodly 48% share of Matt Ryan’s air yards in recent weeks with Julio banged up.

He’s costly, but he’s easily one of the higher floor/ceiling combination WRs of the entire week against Tampa – especially when you consider how stingy they are against the run (5th DVOA rush defense). Matt Ryan will need to move the ball through the air against this defense, and Ridley is his man. We project him for 10.8 targets in the Occupy Model, the most in the NFL this week.

Value: Brandon Aiyuk (@ Dallas)

The man whose last name sounds like Goofy’s laugh is one of the closest things to a must start in regular fantasy football in this offense.

With no Deebo Samuel, Aiyuk is a firm lock at WR1 for the 49ers against a weak Cowboys secondary. He has a 38% share of Nick Mullens’ air yards in the trailing three weeks, and a 30% target share. We’re not expecting George Kittle to be able to suit up in Week 15, either, so lock in the first round pick for another massive share of the opportunity in a game the 49ers simply need to win in order to keep their fledgling playoff hopes alive.

Aiyuk projects for 9.3 targets in the Occupy Model.

Value: Marvin Jones (@ Tennessee)

Marvin Jones Jr. has been absolutely dominating the opportunity for the Lions with Kenny Golladay on the shelf.

He has a league high 557 air yards in the Lions’ last 3 games. Despite this, he only has 1 touchdown in that time frame – underperforming his expected fantasy point production by over 25 points. The biggest concern with Jones this week is who is under center – we’re expecting Chase Daniel to make a spot start for Detroit, and Daniel doesn’t push the ball downfield like Stafford does. Matthew Stafford is slated, somehow, to start.

Tennessee doesn’t pose much of a threat, however, as a merely league average pass defense. If Chase Daniel Matthew Stafford is chasing points (spoiler alert, he will be), Jones is the man he will need to target. We project he will do so 8.1 times in our Model this week. 

Value: DJ Chark, Keelan Cole (@ Baltimore)

A pair of Jaguar WRs found their way onto our underperforming WR list this Sunday, as well. Don’t get too excited, but this gives us the opportunity to get cheap pieces into one of our favorite game stacks of the week.

Chark and Cole will each benefit from Gardner Minshew returning to the starting lineup. Chark especially – he has 15 targets in his last couple of games, but just 4 receptions. Lets give this man some catchable passes, and let him work against Baltimore’s second string secondary.

Keelan Cole has lined up in the slot on the majority of his reps this season, so expect that role to continue, while Chark will line up mostly outside, and have a higher ceiling role because of it.

Chark is much easier to prioritize on FanDuel because the salaries are tighter. On DraftKings, the $1000 between the two makes it a different decision entirely. The Ravens are the 9th best passing defense in the league, but this won’t change the fact that Jacksonville will need to pass as 13.5 point underdogs.

Chark projects for 7.8 targets in our Model, while Cole projects for 5.5 of his own.

Value: Lynn Bowden Jr, Mack Hollins (vs. New England)

All of Parker, Grant and Gesicki are out in Week 15. Each of these guys saw 9 targets last weekend agains the Chiefs, and now will play full snaps. We prefer Bowden to Hollins, but both are viable now today. 

TE

Stud: Travis Kelce (@ New Orleans)

Kelce’s price is through the roof, as he’s threatening to lead the entire NFL in receiving yardage. There’s some merit to the argument that he’s merely a “2nd” TE play, in builds that are ultimately 4 WR lineups with Kelce included.

Such is life with one of Patrick Mahomes’ favorite assets – Kelce has a 29% share of KC’s air yards, and a 26% target share.

It’s time to wonder, though, just how likely Kelce is to be the optimal TE and whether it’s worth the price of admission as a standalone play.

He is an outrageous 63% more expensive than the 2nd highest priced TE on DraftKings, and 25% more expensive on FanDuel. It’s a little more palatable, therefore, to play him on FanDuel where we have more salary cap dollars to play with.

Kelce projects for 9.1 targets in the Occupy Model, the most at the position. 

Value: Mark Andrews (vs. Jacksonville)

The aforementioned 2nd highest priced TE on both FanDuel and DraftKings may just be Lamar Jackson’s top receiving option this week. Jacksonville is 24th by DVOA defending TEs this season.

With each of Marquise Brown, Miles Boykin, and James Proche missing practice time to do a potential COVID-19 exposure, Baltimore has likely had more time to prioritize implementing an Andrews heavy game plan, in preparation for their top WRs to miss the game. Frankly, Andrews was pretty much Jackson’s favorite target most of this season, anyway – so this shouldn’t be too much of a shock to read from us: we love Andrews at his price this week. The top WRs are back for Week 15, but still missed significant practice time.

We project 7.2 targets for the Oklahoma product against the Jaguars.

Value: Dallas Goedert (@ Arizona)

There’s a tremendous amount of value at TE – for those of you who see TE as a “have to play” and not a “want to play” position in DFS, start by considering Dallas Goedert. He’s actually led the Eagles in targets and air yards in their last 3 games, so he has a much higher floor role than his price indicates.

PHI’s WRs haven’t exactly done much to assert themselves in this offense (for what feels like 2 years now), so Goedert likely keeps this role against a Cardinals defense that is merely an average matchup against the TE position. We project 6.1 targets for Goedert this Sunday.

DST

Defenses are not typically going to be written up in detail in our Daily Plug on main slates. One of the optimal ways to select defenses for low-risk contests? Focus on defenses facing opponents with low Vegas team totals. We also want to target turnover prone quarterbacks when it makes sense. You shouldn’t ever pass on a player at another spot just to jam in a defense. We’ll always provide a list of low and high risk defenses in the player pool below.

BANKROLL ALLOCATION

Use 4-5% of your bankroll.

There’s a juicy amount of GPP’s with big prizes for NFL compared to other sports. Depending on your bankroll tier, take advantage! Read Contest Recommendations below for suggested contests by tier.

If playing low-risk, focus on the same spots we normally recommend – H2Hs, single entry double ups (as always, multi-entry double ups are OK if you can max enter them).

Our studs and values by position above are intended to be a roadmap to help you win in low-risk contests. For high-risk, there are plenty of strong GPP plays in the “Best of the Rest” player pool.

LINEUP STRATEGY

Check out the player pool below. In low-risk contests, you should continue to try and play 3 running backs from the write-up and low-risk sections. Often, the highest projected owned RBs in the Occupy Model end up being the sharpest low-risk plays. Smart players have all week to figure out who to run, ownership projections reflect that.

This week, its Cam Akers’ backfield. Don’t overthink him as a three score home favorite against the worst team in football. Alvin Kamara has leapfrogged the actual expensive RBs, as no Michael Thomas plus Drew Brees returning makes him a really strong play once again.

There’s a lot of directions to go after this – we prefer playing either Lamar Jackson or Jalen Hurts at QB. If you play Jackson, consider cheap Tony Pollard drawing the start at RB for the Cowboys as your 3rd RB. If you play Hurts, you can afford to land on builds with Cook or Henry. That’s the biggest decision point of the week. You can then fill in the rest of your lineup with the low-risk plays outlined in our player pool.

Building 5-10-20, even 150 lineups for large-field GPPs? Stick to a core of top plays (outlined below) that are projected to be highly owned, and build game stacks around that core. We strongly recommend stacking the highest total games on the slate above to accomplish this.

For large-field high-risk contests, we recommend 3×1 stacking (a QB, two of his teammates, and one opposing player). In smaller high-risk contests like 100-player leagues, we recommend 3×1 or 3×2 stacking.

You can use our Lineup Builder to set your groupings using the Occupy Model rankings! Available for as low as $4 a week for Occupy members. You probably should – our CEO Brian Jester was able to take down a FanDuel GPP in Week 9 using this exact tool!

Best of the Rest

If building player pools for mass-multi entry is your thing, consider using these names in addition to top plays above. Please remember – the Occupy Model is designed for high-risk contest optimization. Lower-ranked plays may still be great low-risk plays for that reason.

QUARTERBACKS:

LOW-RISK: Jared Goff

HIGH-RISK: Kyler Murray, Gardner Minshew, Mitchell Trubisky, Kirk Cousins, Ryan Tannehill, Chase Daniel

RUNNING BACKS: 

LOW-RISK: J.K. Dobbins, Tony Pollard

HIGH-RISK: David Montgomery, James Robinson, David Johnson, J.D. McKissic, Ezekiel Elliott, DeAndre Washington, Kenyan Drake, D’Andre Swift, Jeff Wilson, Raheem Mostert, Miles Sanders, Chris Carson, Nyheim Hines, Gus Edwards, Le’Veon Bell, Latavius Murray, Tony Pollard, Carlos Hyde

WIDE RECEIVERS: 

LOW-RISK: DeAndre Hopkins, DK Metcalf, Robert Woods, Denzel Mims, Lynn Bowden Jr, Greg Ward

HIGH RISK: Terry McLaurin, Justin Jefferson, Allen Robinson, DJ Chark, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett, Chris Godwin, Adam Thielen, DeVante Parker, A.J. Brown, Brandin Cooks, Cooper Kupp, Keke COutee, Mike Evans, Corey Davis, Russell Gage, Danny Amendola, Jakobi Meyers, Sammy Watkins, Keelan COle, T.Y. Hilton, Jalen Reagor, Kendrick Bourne, Michael Pittman, Antonio Brown, Laviska Shenault, Darnell Mooney, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, Emmanuel Sanders, Tre’Quan Smith, Willie Snead, Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson, Devin Duvernay, Dez Bryant

“UNDERPERFORMING WRs”: DJ Chark, Marvin Jones, DeVante Parker, Terry McLaurin, Keelan Cole

TIGHT ENDS:

LOW-RISK: T.J. Hockenson

HIGH RISK: Logan Thomas, Irv Smith, Cole Kmet, Jared Cook, Jonnu Smith

DST:

LOW-RISK: Ravens, Vikings, Seahawks, Titans

HIGH-RISK: Patriots, Rams, Buccaneers, Cardinals

Plays are listed in order of preference (DK OF Index).

CONTEST RECOMMENDATIONS

Smaller Bankrolls

Always, always always play freerolls. This week, there’s two on DraftKings – the Jose Cuervo Touchdowns + Tequila Contest, and a FFWC Shadow Contest.

Look for no-badge users for low-risk H2Hs in the lobby. On DraftKings, post your own H2Hs and make sure you limit the opponents to 1 entry (per price point) against you (FanDuel doesn’t have this option). With the rest of your low-risk allocation, play single-entry double ups.

This is likely most people reading this – single-entry GPPs are the best high-risk tournaments to play. You want to give yourself the best shot to win; being on a level playing field with every other user by max-entering a contest is the way to go. Single entry contests are the easiest places to do this.

The first place you can do that with are “Contests” – these low priority, blandly named GPPs come with smaller field sizes and (usually) less experienced players. On DraftKings, the $0.25, $1, and $3 Contests are good places to start looking at playing. On FanDuel, the single entry 3-100 Player leagues meet this criteria. Everyone is drawn to the sexy, high-dollar top prize contests – you can lay low in here and (hopefully) grow your bankroll. You can 20-25x your entry fee by beating just 99 other people in these formats – it’s a great place to play.

On DraftKings, the $3 entry fee, NFL $50K Pylon or $12 entry fee, NFL $200K Fair Catch ( or the smaller field $50K Fair Catch option) are great places to spend your high-risk allocation. 

On FanDuel, there is also the $5 entry fee, $55K Sun NFL Spike, the $2 entry fee $25K Sun NFL Safety, and $1 entry fee $15K Sun NFL Squib you should look at for single entry GPPs.

Want to practice your multi-entry skills? Max enter a three entry max contest like the $5 entry fee, $125K Nickel on DraftKings.

The $30K Quarter Jukebox is a 20 entry-max tournament that costs just $5 to play at $0.25 per entry. Practice your mass-multi entry skills with our optimizer with a shot to win $1,500!

Want an even bigger challenge? FanDuel has a 150-entry max contest at just $0.05 per entry, the $25K Sun NFL Pooch Punt. There’s also a $0.25 cent version, the $50K Sun NFL Hail Mary.

Satellites are the best way for us to accumulate entries to the big contests each week. On DraftKings, play for Millionaire Maker Satellites tickets you can use in later weeks.

There are also generic “NFL $3 Ticket SuperSatellite” contests – these award 4 tickets and are $0.25 single entry GPPs. This would be a great way to accumulate Pylon or Play-Action tickets.

There’s also satellites for the 12-22 NBA $2.5M Tip-Off Millionaire, the 12-25 NBA $25 Holiday Classic, the EPL Boxing Day Special on 12/26, the NHL Opening Night Puck Drop, the TEN $15 Aussie Special, the 1-23 MMA $25 257 Special and the NAS 2021 America’s Race contests.

On FanDuel, there are satellites for the NBA Opening Day Shot, the NBA Dunk on 12/23, the NBA Santa Slam on 12/25, the NBA EPIC Monster on 1/6, the NBA Spectacular Slam on 1/12, TEN SUPER Smash on 1/18, the UFC Octagon on 1/23, the NBA Hang Time on 1/27, the NHL Opening Day Breakaway, the NBA Alley Oop on 2/3, and the NAS SUPER Intimidator on 2/14.

Larger Bankrolls

100-player Leagues/Contests remain great places to play – on DraftKings look for Contests in the $5 to $50 entry fee range, these are the best places to build your allocation around.

We introduced 20 entry-max contests to the Smaller Bankroll contest players. At your level, you should consider max entering the $3 entry fee, $1M Play-Action on DraftKings. This contest comes with a shot of taking down $100K, so you should have exposure to that nice prize here.

You can also probably look at some of the higher dollar value single entry GPPs at your bankroll size – The $27 entry fee $125K Blind Side and $50 entry fee $300K Red Zone stand out. The $500K Double Spy is a $200 entry fee GPP that awards $100K to first (there’s a smaller version with 30K to 1st, too).

For FanDuel users, the best single entry GPPs in the next tier not mentioned above? The $25 entry fee, $100K Sun NFL Sweep, the $100 entry fee, $90K Sun NFL Cover 2, and the $50 entry fee, $75K Sun NFL Hot Route.

Look at the $200K Sun NFL Rush, which is a $9 entry fee 150 max GPP with 40K to 1st. It’s near and dear to our hearts – our own CEO won this GPP in Week 9!

Largest Bankrolls

Have enough to (WITHIN our allocation guideline for your bankroll) max-enter a larger GPP? Congrats on being a big baller! Teach us your ways.

On DraftKings, the $150 entry fee, $555K Power Sweep is a three entry-max GPP with a $100K prize to 1st (there’s also a $150K Power Sweep with a smaller field). Consider this heavily every week it’s offered at your bankroll size.

The $5M Main Event Millionaire is a $1500 entry fee, 111-max contest with a $1,000,000 top prize. This is a smaller field, so it’s one of the better shots to try and win $1,000,000 if you won tickets, or have the bankroll to play this contest.

Don’t forget about the $10 entry fee $3M Fantasy Football Millionaire! We like to say don’t play these contests with your own money without being able to max enter, so unless you’re a big baller, steer clear of this one.

The next best 150-max contest is the $9 entry fee, $200K Slant this week. It has one of the flattest payout structures on the slate, and a $20,000 top prize.

FanDuel users, you’ve got the $1.5M NFL Sunday Million which is a $4.44 entry fee, 150-max contest with a $300,000 top-prize.

The $3.5M WFFC Fan Championship is a $250 entry fee, 150 max GPP with $1,000,000 to 1st – we covered strategy for that at the very top of the article.

The $375K Sun NFL Bomb is a $55 entry fee, 150-max GPP that offers $100,000 to 1st place that is also a decent GPP to consider for you.

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Situation statistics sourced from Stathead.com. DVOA data from FootballOutsiders.com. Air Yards data cited from AirYards.com. All salaries from contest providers. While we like the player pool selected above, we reserve the right to roster other players should news and trends closer to lock push us in that direction. Pay attention to our stream schedule for discussion of those thoughts!