MLB DFS 6/30 Studs & Values (Main)

MLB DFS 6/30 Studs & Values (Main)

Tonight’s 7:05pm slate of contests has 7 games to consider. There’s no real weather issues tonight – it’s just hot and humid throughout most of the east coast, so offense projects well.

With the bulk of the day’s aces going during the afternoon, starting pitcher looks dicey this evening. It’s pretty much Chris Sale and everybody else. Which is great, except Sale is headed into the lion’s den at Yankee Stadium tonight. Picking your spot at SP tonight is a real challenge as a result.

The Dodgers and the Rangers are my favorite offenses tonight to look through for plays, so I expect to have a lot of exposure to those games this evening.

Here are my picks for the night:


Stud: Chris Sale (@ NY Yankees)

Sale has posted a 12.63 K/9 in 109 innings across 17 starts this season. In his one start against New York this season back in April, he struck out 8 batters in 6 innings, while only allowing one hit to these Yankees hitters. Yankee Stadium is a pretty neutral venue from a park factor standpoint, so we really only have to worry about the overall quality of the Yankee lineup from a matchup perspective.

In 93 total at-bats, Sale has held these Yankees to a .237 batting average with a .601 OPS. I like his chances to continue his personal success against this team for that reason.

Value: Felix Hernandez (vs. Kansas City)

Felix isn’t the King he was once known as, but a trip to Kauffman Stadium against one of the worst offenses in the league is a really strong matchup for any starting pitcher. Hernandez has a 7.55 K/9 in 95.1 total innings in 17 starts this season. Royals hitters have a .245 batting average with a .711 OPS against him in 102 total at-bats. He’s favored to earn the win tonight if he can keep it together.

Also Consider: Luke Weaver (vs. Atlanta)


Stud: Robinson Chirinos (vs. Chicago White Sox)

Chirinos is my top catcher on the slate tonight, as Globe Life Park remains one of the top venues for hitters in 2018. Chirinos has had a nice week, too! He’s hitting for decent power when he’s in the lineup, as his 11 total home runs on the year demonstrate. Texas is one of my favorite stacks of the night tonight against Carlos Rodon, too.

Value: Nick Hundley (@ Arizona)

If Hundley plays tonight, he draws a matchup against Shelby Miller, who is making his second start of the season since returning from the disabled list. The Giants have an implied total of 4.13 runs tonight in a favorable matchup against him. Hundley is a nice value pick because of his price as a result – and value is what I’ll need if I plan to pair Chris Sale with Felix Hernandez when two pitchers are required.

First Base

Stud: Cody Bellinger (vs. Colorado)

German Marquez is one of the better matchups for hitters on the slate tonight before taking park factor into account. Dodger Stadium, however, has been one of the better pitching parks on the year, which moves this closer to the “average” matchup category for the Dodgers tonight. Bellinger is hot, hitting 10-30 with 3 HR and 4 RBI in his last seven days. He’s worth the price of admission.

Value: Josh Bell (@ San Diego)

PetCo Park has played surprisingly well for offense in 2018, so a bump to all hitters is in order in San Diego if we’re being fair to the way the park has been this season. Bell is also 7-21 with 1 HR and 5 RBI this week, which means he’s playing well. Riding the hot hand might be a good idea here tonight.

Second Base

Stud: Dee Gordon (vs. Kansas City)

Gordon is one of the better players on the slate at the position tonight, and he’s in a good matchup against Jason Hammel. He has a couple of steals this week, but his other counting stats have dipped a bit in recent days. He should find a way to contribute to the Mariners’ 4.67 implied run total tonight.

Value: Rougned Odor (vs. Chicago White Sox)

Odor is 6-24 with 2 HRs this week – if his bat is finally waking up, it is good news for fantasy players willing to play him before the rest of the community catches on.

Third Base

Stud: Max Muncy (vs. Colorado)

Any time someone is hitting over .300 with more than 2 HR in a week, I’m going to consider him. That’s Muncy tonight. If he’s playing over one of the Dodgers other regulars, I’ll take him easily.

Value: Adrian Beltre (vs. White Sox)

Beltre is 7-22 with 1 HR and 2 RBI this week. The ageless wonder should figure to be involved after missing out on all the fun in last night’s massive offensive outburst for the Rangers.

Also Consider: Justin Turner (vs. Colorado)


Stud: Brandon Crawford (vs. Arizona)

Crawford is 9-22 with 1 HR and 4 RBI this week. It’s hard to find options at short to feel good about tonight, so Crawford rises to the top for the higher priced options simply because of how hot he has been.

Value: Enrique Hernandez (vs. Colorado)

Hernandez has hit 3 HR in the last week, so he’s yet another Dodger worth considering against Marquez tonight.

Also Consider: Jean Segura (vs. Kansas City), Jurickson Profar (vs. Chicago White Sox)


Stud: Shin-Soo Choo (vs. Chicago White Sox)

Forgot about Choo? Your mistake, if true! He’s 9-25 with 3 doubles and 1 HR this week. Carlos Rodon is in trouble against the Rangers’ outfielder tonight.

Also Consider: Nelson Cruz (vs. Kansas City)

Value: Avisail Garcia (@ Texas)

Since returning from the disabled list, Garcia has plugged right back into the top of Chicago’s batting order. He’s 8-28 with 2 HR and 4 RBI this week. The best thing that can happen for offense in tonight’s White Sox-Rangers game is if someone on the White Sox side puts the pressure on the Rangers hitters to keep performing. Garcia is a prime candidate for that.

Also Consider: Jackie Bradley Jr. (vs. NY Yankees), Gorkys Hernandez (vs. Arizona)