7/1 MLB DFS Studs & Values

7/1 MLB DFS Studs & Values

July already? Season is flying by! No real weather concerns once again this afternoon, so the fantasy baseball matchups are the biggest decision criteria.

Here’s how I see this afternoon’s DFS slate playing out:

Pitchers

Stud: Mike Foltynewicz (@ St. Louis)

Folty gave up 6 earned runs in a start against the Giants on May 4th. In 8 starts since then, however, he’s posted a 10.53 K/9 and a 0.96 ERA in 47 innings. Translation: pretty good! A trip to Busch Stadium to face the Cardinals is a good matchup for any starting pitcher this season – and that’s before accounting for how well Folty’s been pitching lately. A word of caution: the Cardinals hitters have actually hit him very well in their careers. St. Louis has hit for a combined .347 average and 1.161 OPS in 49 total at-bats against the Atlanta right-hander.

Also Consider: Charlie Morton (@ Tampa Bay)

Value: Jon Lester (vs. Minnesota)

This is more of a value on DraftKings than FanDuel this afternoon (FanDuel pricing favors just slotting in Folty, honestly). Wrigley Field has been a pretty neutral venue from a park factor standpoint, and the Twins are a slightly better matchup for a pitcher than average on the year.

The Twins hold a .271 batting average and a .729 OPS against Lester in 48 total at-bats.

Also Consider: Steven Matz (@ Miami)

Catcher

Stud: Willson Contreras (vs. Minnesota)

Contreras is 8-23 with 1 HR and 6 RBI in the last week. He’s a good option on this slate, which is a tough one to find a catcher to be comfortable with.

Also Consider: Evan Gattis (@ Tampa Bay)

Value: Wilson Ramos (vs. Houston)

The Rays cleanup hitter draws a tough matchup against Charlie Morton, but he is 6-20 with 2 HR and 7 RBI in the last week. He’s also 5-14 with an .828 OPS against Morton in his career, so he’s not intimidated by this pitcher whatsoever. Ramos isn’t playing today.

First Base

Stud: Eric Thames (@ Cincinnati)

I don’t know if you’ve heard, but Eric Thames likes facing the Reds. He owns a 1.388 OPS against the Reds in his entire career, with 10 HR and 17 RBI in just 17 games. Matt Harvey is about to get a taste of this today if the trend holds.

Value: Jake Bauers (vs. Houston)

From rescuing Los Angeles with CTU on a regular basis, to the Tampa Bay Rays! Jack Bauer is back!

Bauers is 7-22 with a HR and 3 RBI in the last week. He’s got a double against Morton in his only career at-bat against him. His low price and top of the order status makes him a nice option, maybe even for a bit of a contrarian stack with Ramos and another Ray I’ll mention further down.

Also Consider: Justin Smoak (vs. Detroit)

Second Base

Stud: Javier Baez (vs. Minnesota)

Baez is on fire lately. He’s 13-28 with 2 HR and 10 RBI in the last week alone. He’s never faced Lance Lynn before, but I have a feeling Lynn doesn’t look forward to facing this guy right now.

Value: Starlin Castro (vs. NY Mets)

Starlord is 11-28 with 2 HR and 4 RBI in the last week. He hasn’t had any success against Steven Matz in three previous at-bats, so this is a bit of a “riding the hot hand” option at a lower price this afternoon.

Third Base

Stud: Anthony Rendon (@ Philadelphia)

Rendon is 9-26 with 3 HR and 6 RBI in the last week. He’s had some success against Jake Arrieta in the past, posting a .742 OPS against him in 13 total at-bats, but it’s not an overwhelming amount. Rendon figures to be involved in the run scoring output for the Nationals in the cleanup spot today.

Value: Yolmer Sanchez (@ Texas)

Sanchez is 8-22 with 1 HR and 6 RBI in the last week. He’s a good cheap option in the White Sox lineup in a favorable environment at Globe Life Park.

Shortstop

Stud: Trea Turner (@ Philadelphia)

The Nationals shortstop is hitting 2nd this afternoon, and has had a hot week, going 8-23 with 1 HR and 3 RBI. Arrieta has held him to a .533 OPS in 5 previous at-bats, though. Maybe some regression plays to Turner’s favor today.

Value: Addison Russell (vs. Minnesota)

Russell is 10-26 with 2 HR and 10 RBI this week, but is hitting 8th this afternoon at home, which makes him a bit tougher to stomach due to less opportunity to produce. Despite this, I’d favor him here if you need the salary cap savings for players in other spots.

Outfielders

Stud: Nick Castellanos (@ Toronto)

Castellanos is 11-27 with 3 HR and 8 RBI in the last week. I Happ a feeling that the Blue Jays’ starter doesn’t want to see him today. At all.

Also Consider: Rhys Hoskins (vs. Washington)

Value: Ian Happ (vs. Minnesota)

Speaking of Happ, I like the Cubs leadoff hitter today against Lance Lynn. At his low price, he’s a great low price option for some more exposure to a Cubs offense with an outrageously high 6.88 implied run total on the day.

Also Consider: Avisail Garcia (@ Texas), Jason Heyward (vs. Minnesota), Kevin Kiermaier (vs. Houston)